The races that
decide Congress.
Follow the competitive House and Senate contests.
Live prediction markets, recent polling, and the candidates behind the numbers.
Alaska
What the polls say
THE MARKET VIEW
How the odds are moving
Kalshi
Polymarket
Market prices reflect traders’ implied probabilities. Polling percentages reflect voter support. They are different measures and should not be compared as equivalent percentages.
Race sources & selection
Candidate and rating sources for Alaska. Ratings shown are the October 29, 2026 snapshot used to select this watchlist; market and polling feeds refresh independently.
A NOTE ON THE NUMBERS
Three views.
One race at a time.
The watchlist
Ten Senate contests, 13 House toss-ups, and 27 additional House races rated Tilt. The selection and rating labels are fixed to the October 29 Inside Elections snapshot, with candidate and context links attached to each race.
Inside Elections ratingsMarkets & polling
Kalshi and Polymarket show their own market prices and histories where a matching market is available. Polling uses the independent PollResults.org feed, which says it syncs NYT-collected surveys. The polling average is calculated for this page; it is not a publisher’s average.
Missing feeds stay visibly missing. Market prices and polls are not election results or official race calls.
Freshness & coverage
The selected race checks for updates every minute while this tab is visible. Poll data is cached for ten minutes. Each panel shows its fetch time, and each poll shows its fieldwork dates.
House polling can be sparse. Main contenders are shown; additional ballot candidates may appear in the linked sources.